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  • daft_pink 3 days

    I feel like this important context wasn’t mentioned in the article, but my understanding is that the Kuwaitii used the sidewinder because they were targeting drones and that it’s significantly cheaper to use this infrared guided missile vs an expensive radar guided missile against drones.

    The issue is that once they shot the heat seaking missile, they aren’t able to select a specific target the way they could with a radar guided missile, so the tool made a lot of sense for what the Kuwaitii pilot was actually doing to the mission planner who may not have realized the proximity to American fighter jets.

  • Alan_Writer 2 days

    3 jets down. I cannot imagine the feeling of the responsable of this event, a very confusing one, btw, and somehow funny, ofc.

  • 3 days

  • skibz 3 days

    How much time elapsed between each aircraft being hit?

  • foxyv 3 days

    It feels really weird to see C.W. Lemoine showing up in news. I'm used to watching him put random pilots in DCS VR sim pits.

  • radicalethics 3 days

    What are the chances Russian jets were involved and it needed to be hidden?

  • rramadass 3 days

    From the article (this is what i believe too);

    Another fighter pilot’s analysis, seen in video below, questions whether the Kuwaiti pilot might even have gone rogue against an ally. That actually seems possible based on the evidence, but it is hard to believe.

    The fact that _three_ were shot down using air-to-air missiles is the clincher.

  • tokai 3 days

    Maybe someone had a juicy bet on a prediction market.

  • 3 days

  • blitzar 3 days

    To the Kuwaiti pilot - You are still dangerous, but you can be my wingman any time.

  • EtienneDeLyon 3 days

    Two more kills and that pilot will be an ace!

    red-iron-pine 3 days

    an ace from friendly fire is still an ace

    stares at wingman angrily

  • usui 3 days

    What did the videos originally link to? It just shows "Sorry, this post is no longer available."

    andrewflnr 3 days

    Sometimes it'll show that while the embed is still loading.

    p_ing 3 days

    That’s you ad blocker. They’re still up.

  • samrus 3 days

    > Another fighter pilot’s analysis, seen in video below, questions whether the Kuwaiti pilot might even have gone rogue against an ally. That actually seems possible based on the evidence, but it is hard to believe.

    I get the concern, but i would remmeber to attribute it to incompetance rather than malice. And from my understanding, there is no shorten of incompetance among gulf arab militaries

    VoodooJuJu 3 days

    [dead]

  • alberth 3 days

    > This is the latest video to have emerged from the extraordinary incident earlier this week in which a Kuwaiti Air Force F/A-18 Hornet was responsible for shooting down three U.S. Air Force F-15E Strike Eagles.

    Why is the US using such dated planes?

    chasd00 3 days

    They're not really the same planes, they've been continually upgraded over time. For another example, The B-52 strategic bomber is being used right now and but it was also operational during the Korean war. However, the B-52s flying today are very different than the ones flying back then. Another way to think about it is a computer with an old case but upgraded mb, cpu, and ram.

    nradov 3 days

    Much of the F-15E fleet is still in relatively good condition. Most other airframes are even older on average. Over the past couple decades most funding went to more urgent GWOT priorities and almost everything else was under capitalized to the point where older aircraft are literally cracking and falling apart.

    UltraSane 3 days

    Because they still work.

    Jtsummers 3 days

    These aircraft are maintained pretty well. They have explicit refresh cycles where they're taken to depots and pretty much torn apart and then rebuilt. The electronics also get refreshed over time with newer components (not just newer versions of old components or refurbished components, but new electronics and computer systems). It's not like they're still frozen in time at whatever version was initially put out 50 years ago.

    lenerdenator 3 days

    The F-15E has received several service upgrades in its lifetime and has served as the base platform for most F-15 variants sold to other nations over the last decade or so. It's far from dated. They make new ones in St. Louis.

    ericmay 3 days

    F-15E Strike Eagles have advanced avionics and can and continue to use advanced missiles. They can serve in multiple roles including target identification, aerial combat, and of course air-to-air interception and ground attack roles.

    Same thing with the F-18.

    Eventually of course all of these weapons platforms will be phased out, but for the time being they are still extremely useful, and even more so after the more advanced aircraft and other attack vectors have taken out or limited air defense capabilities or the ability for enemy aircraft to intercept these aircraft. Not that they can't handle their own, anyway.

    KyleBerezin 3 days

    The F-15 family is kind of best-in-class still. It is an agile jet with a lot of weapons. As for the E variant, we tend to just run them until the airframe ages out.

  • brunohaid 3 days

    Scott Purdue has a couple of good videos on the incident https://youtube.com/@flywirescottperdue

    A pilot not trained well on visually IDing some of the most common military planes would be quite a training lapse.

    greedo 3 days

    Mistaken ID once is conceivable. Twice is not. Three times, with one shot being within visual range, is malice.

    andrewflnr 3 days

    What? No. Making the same mistake repeatedly is the most predictable thing in the world. Until he gets confirmation that he's shooting down the wrong side, he thinks he's just racking up a great kill streak of Migs.

  • cozzyd 3 days

    Probably testing grok-based targeting system.

    steveBK123 3 days

    @grok is this true? /s

    strangattractor 3 days

    Grok stuck in DOGE mode.

    cozzyd 3 days

    DOGEfighting

  • Stevvo 3 days

    Article explains how quick and easy it is to fire the missiles, with no information to identify friend from foe.

    Then it jumps to incredulity that it could happen 3 times.

    I don't know why it's so hard to imagine someone pulling a trigger 3 times.

    sheikhnbake 3 days

    The first could have been a mistake. It happening three times is crazy because ground control should have been in the pilots ear the entire time trying to de-conflict.

    I wouldn't be surprised if the Kuwaiti Air Force switches to ground controlled intercept only after this.

    VLM 3 days

    [flagged]

  • VLM 3 days

    DCS World to the rescue?

    There's open source intel on google that Iran has SU-27s. Under combat conditions you have an instant to tell them apart. Clearly, its possible to misidentify them at least one time historically as the F-15s did get shot down.

    I can assure you from having flown around a lot, if you are wildly outnumbered 3 SU-27 (err, F15) to your 1 F-18 you do not attempt a radar lock you do an IR only attack. The article mentions getting a radar lock first but that is unnecessary for IR guided weapons and in a 3-1 situation will just get you shot down.

    Waiting for confirmation from the ground means 1 of the 3 will surely notice and you will be shot down.

    Ironically if it were a flight of 4 F-18 they'd probably not have been as skittish at radar locking a mere 3 aircraft and the IFF (assuming its probably configured and working etc) would have informed them they're friendlies. IFF can only tell you if everything on both sides is working perfectly and powered up, if you don't get a friendly response all you know is it didn't work. Not unlike a network ping command. If ping works you know they're up and accepting pings from you, if ping doesn't work, you don't really know anything for sure.

    Possibly the primary fault was the Kuwaiti lack of situational awareness. Somehow he's in shoot down range of three other A/C and he's got maybe 3 to 5 seconds to shoot them down or be shot down himself.

    Somehow there is no discussion on what both A/C were doing. Usually a landing on an airfield would not look like a bombing run but possibly the F15s were doing something "weird" for which they could be blamed. The total censorship of what they were doing points to them being up to something dumb "lets buzz the airfield during active combat would could possibly go wrong" and they get shot down for looking like an attack run. Or a mix up where there's a published ahead of time safe altitude window around 15K but these guys for who knows why were 1000 feet off the ground doing who knows what. Maybe they had a good tactical reason to do it but its damning that nothing is being reported as an excuse.

    Clearly any passive IR detector thats theorized to exist for years either doesn't exist or doesn't work very well. In theory, a smart enough IR camera should be able to notice something very warm indeed is getting rapidly brighter as it approaches you. In practice, these don't exist, or don't work. "Oh yeah they didn't have those when I was in, but they totally have them now" for the last 30 years. Apparently, not yet in 2026.

    I find it unfortunate that people who do this for a living can't legally comment, people who do this for a hobby are not asked or actively ignored despite extensive practical experience, and people who mostly have a grift of looking authoritative for legacy media get automatic blind belief despite sometimes spouting total nonsense. This is the typical journalistic response in ALL disaster situations not just military aviation.

    stoltzmann 3 days

    >I can assure you from having flown around a lot, if you are wildly outnumbered 3 SU-27 (err, F15) to your 1 F-18 you do not attempt a radar lock you do an IR only attack. The article mentions getting a radar lock first but that is unnecessary for IR guided weapons and in a 3-1 situation will just get you shot down.

    Slaving heatseekers to radar is the standard way of employing them. I reckon by "having flown around" you're referring to DCS, which is absolutely unrealistic when it comes to engagements.

    >Clearly any passive IR detector thats theorized to exist for years either doesn't exist or doesn't work very well. In theory, a smart enough IR camera should be able to notice something very warm indeed is getting rapidly brighter as it approaches you. In practice, these don't exist, or don't work. "Oh yeah they didn't have those when I was in, but they totally have them now" for the last 30 years. Apparently, not yet in 2026.

    MAWS exist and they're employed on a lot of aircraft. I don't believe Strike Eagles have them though. An F-35 would get a missile warning for a heatseeker, it's not science fiction technology for quite a while now.

    >I find it unfortunate that people who do this for a living can't legally comment, people who do this for a hobby are not asked or actively ignored despite extensive practical experience, and people who mostly have a grift of looking authoritative for legacy media get automatic blind belief despite sometimes spouting total nonsense.

    You don't get practical experience by playing flight simulators, it's not comparable to how planes are employed as weapons systems.

    esseph 3 days

    Defensive warning: AN/AAR-57

    Countermeasure AN/ALE-47

    I don't think they had radar lock, I think they were firing IR missiles. They wouldn't have had much time to respond, and IR missiles are normally much smaller than beyond visual range radar missiles, which would explain how all 6 pilots survived.

    Rumor is there was a problem with the IFF identification system sync. If that's true, the Kuwaiti pilot just saw 3 jets coming into their airspace with no IFF working, under a very compressed timeframe with lots of inbound UAS and potentially aircraft.

    VLM 3 days

    "AN/AAR-57" Yes the small yellow subwoofer looking things that people speculate endlessly about. Supposedly BAE systems marketing released a picture of the whole system LOL, who needs spies if you have a marketing dept, also supposedly just about everything about this is classified. They supposedly come in four packs and there are "many" public pictures of them one under each cockpit rail on the F15 and the other two are unknown location? Or maybe the mythology online that they come in four packs is false and they actually come in two packs which seems more likely. Plausibly they install 4-packs on helicopters not fixed wing.

    I could see some logic in not putting cams pointing forward because theoretically the pilot is looking where they're going and not putting one facing back because flight time to impact is so low they can't evade anyway, but a side attack is survivable if detected early enough... Also facing back they're going to be "seeing" their own exhaust most of the time.

    The total non-reaction by the pilots in the public videos would indicate that if those planes even had -57s they were not working or not working well enough to matter or not working fast enough to matter.

    I would agree some monster sized BVR missile will be easier to detect. In practice does it matter if the missile detector works at short range if the attacker would likely be in guns mode at short enough range anyway?

  • krona 3 days

    The Kuwaiti air force doesn't use F-15E. The F-15E looks quite similar to the Iranian Mig-29 especially from above. I've got no idea how Kuwaiti fast jet pilots are trained but it's not inconceivable that pilot had never seen an F-15E in the flesh before.

    nradov 3 days

    Kuwaiti air force F/A-18 pilots receive most of their training in the USA so most likely they would have seen some F-15 model in flight. That doesn't rule out a case of target misidentification but it's very odd and suspicious.

    lumost 3 days

    Given Kuwaiti air force pilots would have dealt with Saudi/US/Iraqi F-15 operators, that seems highly unlikely.

    sheikhnbake 3 days

    That would be a pretty huge GCI failure

    throwawayffffas 3 days

    My bet is ground control tasked him, and he saw them from the rear and at great distance, and thought they were F-14s.

    inaros 3 days

    >> it's not inconceivable that pilot had never seen an F-15E in the flesh before.

    This is such a joke I cant even imagine how you can formulate this thought...

    - Exercise Marauder Shield 26.1 (Nov. 2025) "U.S. Air Force F-15E Strike Eagle aircraft assigned to the 391st Expeditionary Fighter Squadron takeoff during Exercise Marauder Shield in the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility, Nov. 8, 2025. A key element of the exercise was the sharpening of combined fighter capabilities between the U.S. and Kuwait Air Forces. This included joint training exercises and hot-pit refueling operations."

    - CENTCOM Bomber Task Force mission (July 2022)

    "..During the BTF, two B-52H Stratofortresses, assigned to the U.S. Air Force Global Strike Command, conducted theater integration training and operations with a variety of U.S. Air Force, partner and ally aircraft, including F-15/18, RJ-135, E-3, KC-135/10/46, FGR-4, and A-330..."

    "The bombers’ flight originated at Royal Air Force (RAF) Fairford, England, and flew over the Eastern Mediterranean, Arabian Peninsula and Red Sea before departing the region. The mission included fighter escorts from the Royal Air Force and the Air Forces of Kuwait and Saudi Arabia...."

    "...“Communication is critical,” said Wong, who also serves as the Deputy Director of Combat Operations, Combined Air Operations Center. “By enhancing lines of communication, we are able to establish a clear and direct line in real time amongst the Air Operations Centers of all nations participating..."

    toast0 3 days

    > A key element of the exercise was the sharpening of combined fighter capabilities between the U.S. and Kuwait Air Forces

    Well, the Kuwaitis seem pretty sharp? Three shootdowns is a lot in the modern era. The F-22 program only has two air to air kills in its whole history.

    ericmay 3 days

    > Well, the Kuwaitis seem pretty sharp?

    Do they? If they shot down 3 friendly aircraft that would be a catastrophically stupid mistake which would imply they are, in fact, not that sharp (or at least this specific unit and chain of command).

    > The F-22 program only has two air to air kills in its whole history

    A very poor comparison point given that the F-22 has had limited opportunities for engagement. And just a poor comparison overall.

    foxyv 3 days

    It is very easy to shoot down friendly aircraft because they don't usually shoot back. They fly in nice straight lines because they don't expect to be shot down at any moment by their allies. They don't employ ECM against you. They don't terrain mask. But, maybe you are joking?

    toast0 3 days

    None of the other air forces involved shot down three F-15s, so I don't think it's that easy.

    If I'm skimming this page [1] well enough (find: "shot down"), there's only 6 F-15s that have been shot down, and only 4 or them were air-to-air. If it's so easy, should be more than one other incident, and that guy only got one.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_F-15_losses

    foxyv 2 days

    I think that is more likely evidence of their competence.

    sidewndr46 3 days

    I do not know how F-18 controls work but from what I understand lots of jet controls include the equivalent of a "safety" that can be used to prevent the weapon from being launched. Maybe the pilot thought he had it engaged?

    The secondary thing here I've realized is that the missiles in question must not have been using active homing. If they were then the pilots of the US aircraft would have taken evasive action as soon as their radar warning receiver lit up.

    Toutouxc 3 days

    > I've realized is that the missiles in question must not have been using active homing

    Sorry, but it's totally funny that your nick is literally "Sidewinder".

    mvdtnz 3 days

    > I've realized is that the missiles in question must not have been using active homing.

    This is covered in the article so it's weird to present it as an original thought.

    sidewndr46 2 days

    The words "active" , "homing", & "receiver" do not even appear in the article for me

    mig39 3 days

    That could explain one accidental shootdown. It cannot conceivably explain three.

    altairprime 3 days

    How easy is it in an F-15E to modify a friend to a foe in the targeting systems?

    nradov 3 days

    The IFF system will trigger warning symbology on various cockpit displays but it won't prevent the pilot from employing weapons. At this point we don't know for certain whether IFF was enabled and working correctly on any of the aircraft involved.

  • chasd00 3 days

    I'd like to see the youtuber GrowlingSidewinder reproduce the scenario in DCS. The F18 and AIM9 are completely modeled in DCS and about as accurate of a sim as it gets.

    Here's his sim (at least he first few min) of the situation a few days ago but facing SAMs and not F18s https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V7XpVcUV_vQ

    preisschild 3 days

    > The F18 and AIM9 are completely modeled in DCS and about as accurate of a sim as it gets.

    Sure, but not the weather conditions and visibility.

    And "as accurate of a sim as it gets" isn't true either. War Thunder has much better missile physics.

    chasd00 3 days

    I probably shouldn't have come off so confident sounding ( i swear i'm not an LLM ). When my 8th grader gets home, my DCS and military aircraft/weapons consultant, i'll discuss this with him him and comment again.

    preisschild 22 hours

    I play and like both, but DCS has much to improve upon

    chasd00 20 hours

    My son agreed with your assessment. I stand corrected.

  • JasonADrury 3 days

    "Fighter jet pilot" is a really cool job.

    Guess who gets the cool jobs in these countries? Typically not the most highly motivated individuals, but the children of influential people who pull strings to make it happen.

    Guess how easy it's to fire those people when they don't pay that much attention during training?

    everybodyknows 3 days

    I knew a USAF flight instructor who trained foreign "guest" students: Said washing out the trainee was not an option, not even after mistakes like shutting down an engine in flight.

    m463 3 days

    are you talking about:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_W._Bush_military_servic...

    627467 3 days

    I guess Captain Sharif Ali bin Zeid (cousin of jordan king) in the camp chapman fiasco fall in this category of vulnerability.

    mothballed 3 days

    A remember a very, very, very high % of flight technology (basically flight school) majors in university being in ROTC. Paying for fuel is additional to tuition and it was extremely expensive. A lot of middle and lower class who wanted to be commercial pilots joined the military to get it paid for. No idea how many became fighter jet pilot, I assume most of them got jobs doing something more boring like troop or materials transport.

    I would go so far to say as commercial flight is dominated by very rich people who could afford to do the commercial ratings on their own, or middle/lower class people that became military pilots to pay for it.

    nradov 3 days

    Very few rich people become commercial pilots. They might get a private pilot license as a hobby but generally pilots are just employees they hire to take them around.

    Plenty of working airline pilots come from regular middle-class backgrounds and never served in the military. They take out student loans to pay for training, then work low-paying jobs as flight instructors or something to build up enough flight hours to get hired at a regional airline.

    Those who go the ROTC route can totally get a fighter jet assignment if they want it. Once they get selected for a pilot slot, assignment to a particular airframe is primarily based on how they perform in the training pipeline.

    bityard 3 days

    What? No way. Yes, a lot of airline pilots were former military, but I know several people who are airline pilots and did not come from "very rich" families.

    Flying is not in any way some kind of high-status luxurious job. It can be grueling, with intensive and continuous training, wacky shifts, very strict rules, lots of time away from family, long stretches of boredom punctuated by moments of sheer terror. You can lose your career over a minor mistake that snowballed into a incident due to factors out of your control. Minor health issue? Need mental help? Better get those fixed in secret or you probably won't fly again.

    In my line of work, a major mistake would bring down an internal website at a big company for a little while. An airline pilot's major mistake would kill himself and a hundred-plus people.

    I can't fathom why anyone who is rich would want to be an airline pilot. It's a shit-ton of work, stress, and risk for not much reward. You gotta love to fly in order to stick with it. If the rich want to fly, they just do the training and buy a plane, they don't need to do it for a living!

    lm28469 3 days

    > Guess who gets the cool jobs in these countries?

    What do you mean by "these countries"? What you lived in "these countries"? What do you know about 'these countries". It sounds like something someone who can't locate Africa on a globe or thinks "arab" is a nationality would say

    myrmidon 3 days

    Presumably he means countries with somewhat higher levels of nepotism in the military than the US.

    MENA countries (excepting Israel here) are known to suffer from this significantly, and it is a big factor in their militaries historically underperforming.

    It is a valid point to bring this up as possible cause or factor, no need to get all defensive about it.

    JasonADrury 3 days

    I've lived and worked in the Gulf for half my life, I think I know what "these countries" are like.

    igleria 3 days

    Why would fighter pilot be as nepo-baby compatible as, dunno, actor/actress? Asking truthfully, I'm not american, not in the military, etc.

    fatbird 3 days

    In those countries (i.e., middle eastern countries) power and wealth is usually more connected to gov't and the military rather than independent industries. If you are a nepo-baby, your opportunities will tend to be more gov't/military than celebrity or corporate.

    JasonADrury 3 days

    Too many nepo babies and too little state owned movie production in the Gulf?

    Also flying modern fighter jets is the kind of fun that's typically very hard to buy with money, so you take the opportunity when available.

    fmajid 3 days

    They wouldn't trust a non-family member with weapons that could decapitate the country's kleptocratic monarchy.

    TheScaryOne 3 days

    The Sultan bin Salman was the first Arab, first Muslim, and first Royal in space, on the NASA Challenger flight before its fateful flight. He was a fighter pilot for the Saudi Air Force with 1000's of flight hours.

    3 days

    zardo 3 days

    A fighter pilot is the modern military equivalent of a medieval knight.

    duxup 3 days

    Even the early Roman legions were composed of land owning citizens. Partly because they could afford / knew people they could get equipment from. Also likely because you wanted people in the establishment that you could trust armed and the power that went with it.

    mitthrowaway2 3 days

    I thought that land ownership was offered as a reward for service?

    duxup 3 days

    Later on yes. Early on it was more strict about who could serve.

    cloverich 3 days

    I believe the latter was key and democratization of the armed forced was at least one reason the dictators (Julius etc) were able to maintain loyalty of their troops as they eliminated the republic as such. Im not super well read here though.

    Higher level, Fukuyamas political order series does a great deep dive into these kinds of topics, really blew my mind, and made many archaic seeming political structures make far more intuitive sense to me afterwards.

    senkora 3 days

    I’ll have to give those a read. For others, I’ve linked their wiki pages below:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Origins_of_Political_Order

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_Order_and_Political_...

    duxup 3 days

    Yeah once a given senator commanded AND paid the local full time legions for a given region, their loyalty followed.

    By that time too the men serving in the legions were increasingly locals and not Roman or even from Italy.

    roncesvalles 3 days

    In almost all countries, military is seen as a "working class" profession, even joining as an officer. I don't think the rich and influential consider it an option for their kids.

    Btw fighter pilot is extremely physically taxing. It's not for everyone. Any degree of motion sickness and you're out. Everyone joins the air force wanting to become a fighter pilot but only a small percentage can.

    breppp 3 days

    > In almost all countries, military is seen as a "working class" profession

    In western countries that's the case. In autocratic countries it is essential to keep control of the army by placing the equivalent of the royal family in charge.

    Also, fighter pilots were historically considered as the successors for cavalry and manned by the nobility, in Arab countries this means the ruling elite

    true_religion 3 days

    The saying it’s true for officers seems to need greater support since historically officers were always nobility or from the leadership class. Today, in countries that are not full democracies, the leadership wants the military controlled by favorable people and that means family members.

    JasonADrury 3 days

    There are exactly zero places in the world where "fighter jet pilot" is seen as a "working class" profession.

    And my whole point was that it's often not a profession, but a hobby.

    roncesvalles 2 days

    It won't keep you in the working class once you get in, but the military in general only attracts the children of working class families.

    There is a certain socioeconomic boundary above which your kid joining the military is unimaginable, just simply not an option.

    djhn 2 days

    In the UK and its numerous former colonies officers are mostly posh, up to and including the royal family.

    kelipso 3 days

    Pretty sure US military fighter jet pilots are mostly just working class or lower middle class people. I know two who did that are they’re nowhere near rich.

    JasonADrury 3 days

    You're missing the point.

    3 days

    sschueller 3 days

    Cool job? Being ordered to drop bombs on schools filled with children doesn't seems like a cool job..

    kakacik 3 days

    What does that have to do with anything? They went through training in different times when conflicts were not on their plate. During peace it is a cool job, you know not every air force around the world bombs schools, in fact most don't.

    Anybody who ever went through arab countries with eyes opened saw the massive nepotism and corruption at all levels. Army/air force ain't immune to this, in contrary. Do you think ie some general or politician's first son would be treated and pushed up same as common folks?

    axus 3 days

    It's a "high status" job. Doing the high status jobs correctly isn't always easy.

    anonymousiam 3 days

    Another example of using children to shield a military target. (The USA has done the same thing in the past. For example; Aviation High School was located on the same parcel as TRW.)

    In the case you're presumably referring to, no fighter pilots were involved. A Tomahawk missile was launched from a US naval vessel, aimed at a military site next door to the girls school.

    dylan604 3 days

    Pilots are not told they are dropping bombs on a school filled with kids. They are told it is a headquarters or storage or bunker or whatever.

    esseph 3 days

    > Cool job? Being ordered to drop bombs on schools filled with children doesn't seems like a cool job..

    That was a launched cruise missile from a ship, targeted by an LLM. Apparently the grounds USED to be a valid military target long ago (a decade? I'm not sure exactly) and now there's a school there.

    sschueller 3 days

    Taking out the human factor makes it so much worse.

    Building an LLM is one thing but building one specifically to pick targets is another.

    For me knowing that my actions may have contributed direcly to the death of anyone is not something I want to live with.

    dgroshev 3 days

    > targeted by an LLM

    I don't think it's a known fact at this point.

    esseph 2 days

    I'm not sure what's better/worse:

    1. A LLM did the targeting

    2. Targets were selected and evaluated by humans and the many-years old change of building shape and purpose didn't get caught during target eval.

    JasonADrury 3 days

    I'll spell it out: A lot of air force pilots in these countries end up being rich kids who do it because it's a fun hobby, not motivated soldiers.

    Because many of these people see it as a fun hobby, they don't spend much time worrying about potentially being ordered to drop bombs on schools filled with children. It's rather unlikely that their government would order them to do so anyway, compare a list of countries being hit by Iran with a list of countries bombing Iran.

    morkalork 3 days

    Air force pilots are the modern day knights of the sky. Also, up until WW2, which social class you were from determined whether or not you were going to be an officer or canon fodder so rich kids swooping their way into being captains is historically normal.

    breppp 3 days

    Actually during the time when the nobility went to be fighter pilots it was a suicidal role with very low survival rates (ww1)

    morkalork 3 days

    Incidentally: TIL George Bush Jr was an airforce pilot. Hah.

    seanmcdirmid 3 days

    Air national guard. He didn't want to go to Vietnam, so he (or his father) used his connections to join the weekend warriors. One of my uncles did something similar (while my dad got drafted in the army and went to Vietnam).

    singleshot_ 3 days

    When you say, “these countries,” I imagine you include the United States, where politically connected youngsters like George W. Bush secured and then ignored jet interceptor training during the 1960s?

    JasonADrury 3 days

    Be that as it may, I think we can agree that the USAF is not the same as the air forces of the Gulf countries.

    baybal2 3 days

    [dead]

    mvdtnz 3 days

    Not everyone agrees that America is special. You haven't convincingly won a conflict in how long, so we're not really convinced your military is as exceptional as you like to say.

    JasonADrury 3 days

    I'm not American

    true_religion 3 days

    I would include the USA, with the caveat that in the US being sent to the military is often seen as a punishment for rich children where as in the Middle East being sent to the military can be an opportunity to build an independent power base for yourself or your family.

    nradov 3 days

    The USA has a volunteer military. Occasionally there are cases where the criminal court system might agree to dismiss a minor charge if the defendant enlists. But that doesn't happen to rich people, or those joining as commissioned officers (pilot track).

    true_religion 3 days

    This is all true but I can’t see how it’s relevant to why I said.

  • DarkmSparks 3 days

    My theory is Iran is jamming the link16 iff.

    monster_truck 3 days

    Saw some unsubstantiated claims that the planes shot down didn't even have it on

    DarkmSparks 3 days

    That is the basis for my theory. Not being on

    And

    Being on but jammed look the same from the perspective of the one shooting them down.

    Also, I wonder how resilient it is to the gps spoofing that been going on. If they managed to trick it into identifying itself as a few hundred miles from where it actually was, then very hard to know where it actually is.

    All of which is well within Irans technical capabilities.

    monster_truck 3 days

    It is subtantially more likely that this individual plane was tampered with or maintained incorrectly than these signals were anywhere close to being effectively jammed (but still less likely than them not having it on in the first place).

    The power levels they are operating at are well into "do NOT stand in front of this" territory

    DarkmSparks 3 days

    iff is not high power, if it was then anything equipped with iff would all be vulnerable to any anti radiation missile made in the last 70 years.

    monster_truck 3 days

    You should know better

    esseph 3 days

    Highly unlikely. Highly.

    DarkmSparks 3 days

    Why? Specs for link16 jamming have been circulating since before the invasion of ukraine, there is a whole DoD technical report dedicated to trying to update it knocking around somewhere.

    Iran claim to have used it to bring down US drones in the past.(1)

    1. https://www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle-East/2011/1215/Exclus...

    Jtsummers 3 days

    That link is about GPS spoofing, not Link 16 jamming, those are two different radio systems and two different attacks.

    DarkmSparks 3 days

    Its both.

    They claimed

    They jammed the control link so the operators couldnt control it, then used gps spoofing to make its "lost communication fly home" protocol land itself in hostile territory.

    esseph 3 days

    IFF system uses coded pulses at 1030mhz and 1090mhz. It's a totally different system from Link16.

    DarkmSparks 3 days

    Jamming the transponder would not be enough, it would also need to at least jam the identification/location messages in

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TADIL-J

    And also at least the satellite versions.

    And all of which are part of the S300 systems EW package Iran possess, the Cobra V8 has a touted range of 250km.

    Also been demonstrated now in Ukraine.

    See also

    https://www.armyrecognition.com/news/army-news/2026/iran-dep...

  • Bratmon 3 days

    I know American pilots think that Kuwait is on their side, but is their any evidence that Kuwaiti pilots think they're on America's side?

    axus 3 days

    Operation Desert Storm was when the US liberated Kuwait. The US played nice with Kuwait since then.

    red-iron-pine 3 days

    not recently

    > In January 2026, the United States government suspended immigrant visas for citizens of Kuwait and 74 other countries due to the high dependency of Kuwaiti immigrants on American welfare benefits.[219] Kuwait is the only GCC country on the visa suspension list.[219]

    asadm 3 days

    They have handed over their sovereignty to US forces to help kill their Muslim brethren. You want them to prove some more loyalty tests?

    JasonADrury 3 days

    The state religion in Kuwait is Sunni Islam. It's much more nuanced than "Muslim brethren", except perhaps less so when Israel is directly involved, as it is today.

    It's also important to note that these are not democracies. The state frequently does things that people aren't entirely happy with, it's only when the people (or religious leaders!) become sufficiently unhappy that it becomes a problem.

    vonneumannstan 3 days

    Lol most Kuwaitis including the royal family are Sunni and believe Iranian Shia's to be heretics. So no love lost there at all.

    dfadsadsf 3 days

    Do not mistake leadership and regular people. Afghanistan president Ghani handed over sovereignty to US too but Afghans disagreed. I am confident that there is significant minority in Kuwait wishing for Iran victory. As a datapoint, there were videos from Bahrain with people cheering for Iranian rockets hitting American bases.

    breppp 3 days

    Bahrain has a significant Shia population that feels oppressed and identifies with Iran.

    That's not similar to Kuwait, a country that has a recent history of being taken over by its largest neighbor and saved by the US

    lenerdenator 3 days

    Imagine thinking that you're brothers with someone based solely on what religion you both supposedly believe.

    tradertef 3 days

    Quran 49:10

    asadm 3 days

    Imagine walking into a random neighborhood, finding a stranger and one "Salam" later, you are like brothers; willing to die for them.

    Oh yeah, it's a superpower in-practice actually. Alhamdulilah!

    lenerdenator 3 days

    I wouldn't want that. You know nothing about the guy other than what he says he believes.

    Which, of course, could be massively different from what he actually believes, and who's to say any of his beliefs result in actions of a good person.

    asadm 2 days

    someone BS'ing about what he believes in, is VERY easy to spot from a mile away.

    JasonADrury 3 days

    In a sense it's a rather positive way of thinking, no? Surely having a shared set of beliefs is a pretty good starting point.

    I'm certainly not religious, but it feels rather cynical to make fun of this.

    asadm 3 days

    correct.

    lenerdenator 3 days

    It's not cynical if centuries of history show that it doesn't work to effectively moderate bad human and societal behavior.

    JasonADrury 3 days

    You can be cynical about Islam without being cynical about this particular principle.

    lenerdenator 2 days

    I'm not being cynical about Islam. The principle is the thing that I'm being cynical about.

    We look for these shortcuts all the time because we're meant to interact with much smaller groups of people than we do on a societal scale now. For most of human history the average person was born, lived, and died within the same community of maybe a couple hundred people at most. This thing where the average person lives in metro areas of millions and can do business with people on a completely different continent is really new and we're trying to find methods for figuring out who is and isn't trustworthy. Most fail, and you can throw "in group vs out group" in the failure pile.

    Any sort of shortcut to "this person is an ally and/or worthy of my trust" based primarily on race, religion, nationality, etc. is a very good way to set yourself up for exploitation. You see it all the time. Televangelists scam money out of people's pockets by the same mechanism. A "good Christian" man is asking for your donation after giving you the Almighty's blessings.

    You also see it in criminal organizations that tend to group themselves by ethnicity like the American La Cosa Nostra, where you have to be full-blooded Italian to be a made man. The people considering your induction into the further depths of the criminal organization won't let you join if you're not full-blooded Italian, because that's the "in group", but the "out group" of everyone else is less likely to kill you in that lifestyle than the members of the "in group".

  • 1024core 3 days

    Most of this is just speculation until the Kuwaiti pilot is identified. If it turns out he is a Shia muslim, then it'll open up a new dimension on this event.

    History buffs may remember that the presence of American troops in Saudi Arabia was the catalyst that turned OBL into America's foe. He had offered his services to the King to defend KSA against Saddam Hussein (after Saddam swallowed Kuwait), but the King politely refused and speed dialled the USA instead. The rest is history.

    red-iron-pine 3 days

    there is 0% chance that a fighter pilot in the Kingdom of Kuwait is a Shia.

    only people flying in Kuwait are those with connections to the Emir and his people, and they're unambiguously Sunni

    I'd be more concerned with the US just pissing off the Sunnis, stuff like

    > In January 2026, the United States government suspended immigrant visas for citizens of Kuwait and 74 other countries due to the high dependency of Kuwaiti immigrants on American welfare benefits.[219] Kuwait is the only GCC country on the visa suspension list.[219]

    breppp 3 days

    Saying the presence of American troops is the reason Bin Laden was anti-american is ideological flattening of Islamism, a movement from at least the 1920s that sees the entire failure of Islam in modernity as a product of western imperialism (a word that is very abused in their ideas), culture and ideas

    _DeadFred_ 3 days

    OBL stated his reasons including the stationing of American troops in Saudi Arabia.

    breppp 3 days

    This is an overly US centric view which misses a lot of substance.

    Bin Laden major start in jihadism was in afghanistan, while there were already US soldiers in his home nation of saudi arabia. for some reason that deployment wasn't deemed important enough to fight.

    If you read a bit into the ideological influence of bin laden, such his teachers you would know the ideology is heavily based on the Muslim Brotherhood.

    They do not only see a problem with western imperialism, which he incorrectly deduced the US deployment to be.

    It also sees a major threat in western culture to Islamic values. The reason why the west needs to be fought in NYC rather than the troops in Arabia is because they felt Islam is under attack culturally. As in, everyone will throw their religion away, families will devolve and immodesty will be rampant.

    So it is naive to think that if the US would not be involved in the Middle East then it won't be attacked, and it is replicating the pre-ww2 thought which was mildly unsuccessful

    _DeadFred_ 3 days

    In this case we have OBLs primary writing to go on, and he is who laid out this motivation claim. I'm not sure your age, but this was talked about quite in depth at the time.

    breppp 3 days

    I'm sorry, not everything that was talked in depth in American media due to someone's propaganda pandering US isolationism can erase 80 prior years of written ideology

    _DeadFred_ 2 days

    But the dudes OWN WRITING sure as heck can.

    Keep on your agenda and ignore reality I guess.

    1 days